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Newsletter
 
Market Outlook
Market to stay cautious ahead of inflation data
Date
9.5.2008
New Page 1

The market is likely to turn cautious ahead of inflation data to be released for the week ended 26 April 2008 by noon today. Soaring crude oil prices and no visible cooling in the prices of primary articles, inflation is likely to be more or less near previous week’s levels.

The spiralling inflation has been the biggest cause of concern for Indian equities market. The wholesale price index (WPI) in the week ended 19 April 2008 had galloped to a fresh three-and-a-half-year high of 7.57% from 7.33%. The WPI remained above the 7%-mark (significantly above RBI`s revised target of 5.5% for the year) for the past four weeks.

The recent rally in crude oil may also continue to weigh on investor sentiment. Oil rallied to strike a fresh record to an all-peak of $124.61 a barrel, after settling up 16 cents at $123.69 yesterday, 9 May 2008 as strong diesel demand outweighed signs of rising OPEC supplies.

With results already declared from majority of the frontline corporates, the result season has almost come to an end. The near term trend is likely to be dictated by global cues.

Aggregate results of 1601 companies showed 17.90% rise in net profit on 22.60% rise in net sales in Q4 March 2008 over Q4 March 2007, so far. There was 29.50% rise in net profit on 23.30% rise in net sales in the year ended March 2008 over year ended March 2007.

Meanwhile in a meeting held yesterday, 8 May 2008, the Bank of England and the European Central Bank have both kept interest rates unchanged at 5% and 4% respectively, as expected. Most experts now predict that both central banks are likely to cut rates by the end of the year to shore up stumbling economies.

Asian markets were mixed today, 9 May 2008. Nikkei (down 0.91% at 13,815.68), Hong Kong`s Hang Seng (down 0.16% at 25,409.01), Taiwan`s Taiwan Weighted (down 0.27% at 8,842.47), South Korea`s Seoul Composite (down 0.98% at 1,829.86) declined.

However, Singapore`s Straits Times (up 0.13% at 3,175.89) and Shanghai Composite (up 0.73% at 3,683.70) advanced.

US markets rebounded from the early lows on Thursday, 8 May 2008, led by technology stocks. Retailers` monthly sales reports also helped ease concerns about an economic downturn.

The Dow Jones industrial average rose 52.43 points, or 0.41%, to 12,866.78. The Standard & Poor`s 500 index gained 5.11 points, or 0.37%, to 1,397.68, and the Nasdaq Composite index advanced 12.75 points, or 0.52%, to 2,451.24.

Back home, the market succumbed to selling pressure for the forth straight session yesterday, 8 May 2008, as weak global equities and soaring crude oil prices worried investors. The 30-share BSE Sensex fell 258.66 points or 1.49% at 17,080.65 whereas the broader based S&P CNX Nifty slipped 53.8 points or 1.05% at 5081.70 on that day.

As per provisional data, foreign funds sold shares worth a net Rs 724.49 crore yesterday, 8 May 2008. Domestic funds bought shares worth a net Rs 609.51 crore on that day.

 
Index Futures Recommendations
 
N I F T Y Index Futurses         8.5.2008
Last quoted
5151
Prevailing Trend Bearish
Trend Change Level (6.5.2008)
Initiated
Age
Bullish
Neutral
Bearish
5180
2
5220
5160
-
 
Notes:
 
Latest nifty calls/levels for clients only - open an online account or at a local branch for our proven nifty calls. above levels are updated once a day only with a delay. Calls also given on SMS service.
 
CNXIT Futures Recommendations
 
 
Cash Market   
SATURDAY MAY 10,  2008
S.NO
ACTION
DATE
SCRIP
ENTRY
PRICE
(INR)
STOP
LOSS
TIME
FRAME
TARGET
PRICE1
(INR)
TARGET
PRICE2
(INR)
1.
Buy
28.12.2008
JM Financial
2400-2500
2200
1-2 Weeks
3000
3200+
2.
Buy
12.12.2007
IBRealEstate
740-750
710
2 Months
825
950+
3.
Buy
15.11.2007
Motilal (online)
1540-1560
1500
Up To 1 Week
1750
1900
4.
Buy
16.9.2007
Sunflag (online)
17-18
12
More than 3 Months
35
50+
5.
Buy
27.7.2007
Hitachi (online call)
115-118
100
More than 3 Months
150
175+
6.
Buy
5.7.2007
KesoramInd
470-474
440
More than 3 Months
500
550++
7.
Buy
18.5.2007
RelCap(online call)
910-912
850
2 Months
960
1000+
8.
Buy
8.5.2007
TISCO(MEDRISK)
560-562
550
1-2 Weeks
580
590+
9.
Buy
30.4.2007
Genus Ov (online)
230-232
220
2 Months
250
275+
10.
Buy
23.4.2007
GTL (online call)
170-172
165
1-2 Weeks
180
190+
11.
Buy
5.4.2007
TataSteel (online)
444-446
435
1-2 Weeks
460
470+
12.
Buy
4.4.2007
Kotak Bank (re-reco)
470-472
420
More than 3 Months
525
600+
13.
Buy
20.3.2007
IBulls(re-reco)
400-402
370
3-4 Weeks
425
450+
14.
Buy
14.3.2007
TELEDATA (online)
42-43
40
1-2 Weeks
46
50+
15.
Buy
13.12.2006
Educomp (re-reco)
630-635
600
Up To 3 Months
750
850+
 
Notes:
 
New Page 1

STOCK NEWS 9 MAY

French cement major Lafarge SA, the world's second-largest cement maker, has reportedly emerged the frontrunner in the race to acquire the ready-mix concrete (RMC) business of engineering and construction major Larsen & Toubro (L&T).

Suzlon Energy’s operations at Sangli and Satara in Maharashtra have reportedly hit a major roadblock. Agitated villagers of Chikhli village in Satara district on Wednesday, 6 May 2008 forced Suzlon-run windmills to shutdown, protesting the manner in which the land acquisition was done. On top of it, angry villagers threatened to uproot the windmills, if Suzlon does not resolve the land acquisition issue, the reports added.

S Kumars, through its subsidiary, has acquired a controlling stake in one of Italy’s leading fabric manufacturers, Klopman, for an enterprise value of $107 million.

Walchandnagar Industries has reportedly inked a deal with US-based peer Foster Wheeler to get know-how for making high-pressure industrial and utility boilers.

3i Infotech said on Thursday it has acquired 26% stake in Hyderabad-based IT infrastructure services firm Locuz Enterprise Solutions, for an undisclosed sum.

The Insurance Regulatory and Development Authority (IRDA) on Thursday, 8 May 2008 granted a licence to a joint venture company led by Canara Bank to launch life insurance products. Canara Bank holds 51% stake in the insurance joint venture.

The government has reportedly imposed a temporary ban on export of pig iron by public sector companies, Steel Authority of India (SAIL), Rashtriya Ispat Nigam (RINL) and MMTC-controlled Neelachal Ispat Nigam (NINL).

The Tata group’s financial services arm, Tata Capital, is reportedly in talks to acquire or become a strategic partner of TVS Finance and Services (TVS-FS), the loss-making non-banking financial company (NBFC) of TVS Motor Company.

Net profit of Hindustan Motors fell 79.4% to Rs 10.95 crore on a 19.5% rise in sales to Rs 185.01 crore in Q4 March 2008 over Q4 March 2007.

Net profit of Voltamp Transformers rose 57.2% to Rs 21.63 crore on a 10.3% rise in sales to Rs 135.14 crore in Q4 March 2008 over Q4 March 2007.

Net profit of Birla Corp fell 14.5% to Rs 86.56 crore on a 10.1% rise in sales to Rs 488.69 crore in Q4 March 2008 over Q4 March 2007.

Net profit of J B Chem & Pharmaceuticals fell 8.1% to Rs 10.05 crore on a 0.9% decline in sales to Rs 141.4 crore in Q4 March 2008 over Q4 March 2007.

Kotak Mahindra Bank, Apollo Tyres, Asian Paints, Bharat Bijlee, Mahindra Forgings, TIL, Novartis India, Triton Corp among others will declare results today.

 
 
© 2005 JV Capital Services (P) Ltd. Member: National Stock Exchange of India.
(SEBI No. INB 231275935 for CM, INF 231275935 for F&O)
NSE MEMBER ID : 12759